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← Explore · Market 2698818

Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026?

0.9% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 0.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.1%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability1.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 0.9¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-1.40pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$114
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $8
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.25
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 128d 22h.

Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth