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← Explore · Market 2698894

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?

4.3% implied · bid 3.4¢ · ask 5.2¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.4%, up 1.6pt over 24h, on a 1.8¢ spread.

Implied probability3.4%
Bid / ask / mid3.4¢ / 5.2¢ / 4.3¢
Spread1.8¢ (41.9%)
Change 24h+1.60pt
Change 7d-5.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$669
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21 / $29
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 65 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.26
RSI (14, hourly)64.5
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth