← Explore · Market 2698895
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
39.0% implied · bid 38.0¢ · ask 40.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid38.0¢ / 40.0¢ / 39.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (5.1%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$261
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$364 / $680
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.06
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%