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← Explore · Market 2698896

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?

49.0% implied · bid 48.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 49.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid48.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 49.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$181
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$506 / $669
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.29
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 21d 21h.

Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth