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← Explore · Market 2730613

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

93.0% implied · bid 92.0¢ · ask 94.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 91.0%, up 8.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+8.00pt
Change 7d+6.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 90% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,513
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$920 / $2,876
Imbalance90% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.53
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.11pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 175d 2h.

Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth