← Explore · Market 2730712

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

2.4% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 2.5¢

The market prices this at 2.3%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability2.3%

Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 2.5¢ / 2.4¢

Spread0.3¢ (12.8%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d-2.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$35,004

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,993 / $2,511

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score51.8 / 100

RSI 69 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.28

RSI (14, hourly)69.0

Realized vol 7d0.22pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%