← Explore · Market 2730727
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
87.0% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 88.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 88.0%, up 46.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 87.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.3%)
Change 24h+46.00pt
Change 7d+10.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 52% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$32,485
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,887 / $524
Imbalance52% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score42.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.45
RSI (14, hourly)79.7
Realized vol 7d5.97pt
Change 1h+3.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4d 21h.
Time to resolve4d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%