← Explore · Market 2732526
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
73.5% implied · bid 73.0¢ · ask 74.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 75.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability75.0%
Bid / ask / mid73.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 73.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d+29.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,359
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,970 / $984
Imbalance24% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 14 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.12
RSI (14, hourly)14.3
Realized vol 7d2.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 52d 21h.
Time to resolve52d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%