← Explore · Market 2734368
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?
11.9% implied · bid 11.2¢ · ask 12.6¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.1%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.4¢ spread.
Implied probability12.1%
Bid / ask / mid11.2¢ / 12.6¢ / 11.9¢
Spread1.4¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h-0.20pt
Change 7d-1.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$225
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$223 / $80
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.75
RSI (14, hourly)47.6
Realized vol 7d1.01pt
Change 1h+0.30pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%