← Explore · Market 2734369
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?
36.0% implied · bid 33.0¢ · ask 39.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 37.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid33.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 36.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$170
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40 / $167
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 41 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.41
RSI (14, hourly)41.2
Realized vol 7d1.60pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%