← Explore · Market 2734370
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?
28.5% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 29.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 28.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability28.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 28.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$165
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$178 / $186
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.09
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.52pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%