← Explore · Market 2734371
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?
10.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$295
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$52 / $28
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.17
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.24pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%