← Explore · Market 2737233
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
24.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 25.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 24.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$109
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,314 / $3,325
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 310d 2h.
Time to resolve310d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%