← Explore · Market 2738417

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

1.5% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 1.6¢

The market prices this at 1.0%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 1.6¢ / 1.5¢

Spread0.3¢ (20.7%)

Change 24h+1.10pt

Change 7d-18.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$95,142

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$317 / $226

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)4

Liquidity score48.8 / 100

RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.64

RSI (14, hourly)43.0

Realized vol 7d0.92pt

Change 1h-0.15pt

Resolves in 0d 14h.

Time to resolve0d 14h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%