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← Explore · Market 2744172

Will GPT-Bidi-1 be released by July 17, 2026?

100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.8%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.8%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+49.95pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$8,706
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,469 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score53.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 66 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.02
RSI (14, hourly)66.2
Realized vol 7d4.39pt
Change 1h+7.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 21h.

Time to resolve6d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth