← Explore · Market 2749311
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
27.0% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 28.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability28.0%
Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$77
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,981 / $1,538
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.18
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%