← Explore · Market 2757754
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,673
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$831 / $1,222
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 21h.
Time to resolve21d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%