← Explore · Market 2757806
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
34.5% implied · bid 34.0¢ · ask 35.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 35.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability35.0%
Bid / ask / mid34.0¢ / 35.0¢ / 34.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.9%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d-10.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5,007
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$748 / $1,342
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.07
RSI (14, hourly)20.0
Realized vol 7d0.87pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 2h.
Time to resolve68d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%