← Explore · Market 2757806
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
63.5% implied · bid 63.0¢ · ask 64.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 64.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability64.0%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$856
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$746 / $4,176
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.88
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.82pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 113d 21h.
Time to resolve113d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%