← Explore · Market 2757946
Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?
93.8% implied · bid 91.3¢ · ask 96.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.3%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 4.9¢ spread.
Implied probability95.3%
Bid / ask / mid91.3¢ / 96.2¢ / 93.8¢
Spread4.9¢ (5.2%)
Change 24h-1.45pt
Change 7d-4.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 80% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$3,942
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,877 / $4,943
Imbalance80% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 58 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.43
RSI (14, hourly)57.8
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h+1.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 21h.
Time to resolve1d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%