← Explore · Market 2758338
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
26.5% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 27.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, up 11.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h+11.00pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$149,282
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,686 / $7,381
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)8
Liquidity score52.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 59 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.59
RSI (14, hourly)59.5
Realized vol 7d1.63pt
Change 1h+4.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 22d 0h.
Time to resolve22d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%