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← Explore · Market 2760554

Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?

4.2% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 6.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.2%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 4.1¢ spread.

Implied probability6.2%
Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 6.2¢ / 4.2¢
Spread4.1¢ (98.8%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-21.85pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$111
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $9
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score29.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 3 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.72
RSI (14, hourly)3.2
Realized vol 7d2.91pt
Change 1h-0.35pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 36d 2h.

Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth