← Explore · Market 2760556
Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?
27.1% implied · bid 22.1¢ · ask 32.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.0%, down 12.3pt over 24h, on a 9.9¢ spread.
Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.1¢ / 32.0¢ / 27.1¢
Spread9.9¢ (36.6%)
Change 24h-12.30pt
Change 7d+18.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 1/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$381
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $5
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.38
RSI (14, hourly)40.0
Realized vol 7d2.74pt
Change 1h-4.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 2h.
Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%