← Explore · Market 2760557
Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?
42.9% implied · bid 37.5¢ · ask 48.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 38.0%, up 27.0pt over 24h, on a 10.7¢ spread.
Implied probability38.0%
Bid / ask / mid37.5¢ / 48.2¢ / 42.9¢
Spread10.7¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h+27.00pt
Change 7d+32.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,639
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.42
RSI (14, hourly)62.2
Realized vol 7d3.53pt
Change 1h-1.70pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 2h.
Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%