← Explore · Market 2760558

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?

87.5% implied · bid 87.0¢ · ask 88.0¢

The market prices this at 90.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability90.0%

Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 87.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+23.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 61% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$466

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$362 / $367

Imbalance61% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.4 / 100

RSI 43 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.13

RSI (14, hourly)42.9

Realized vol 7d1.99pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 36d 2h.

Time to resolve36d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%