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← Explore · Market 2760559

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?

8.5% implied · bid 7.9¢ · ask 9.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.2%, up 2.4pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability8.2%
Bid / ask / mid7.9¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.1¢ (13.0%)
Change 24h+2.40pt
Change 7d-17.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$323
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11 / $27
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 64 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.36
RSI (14, hourly)63.8
Realized vol 7d1.70pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 36d 2h.

Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth