← Explore · Market 2760560
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30?
1.8% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 2.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.6%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 2.3¢ spread.
Implied probability3.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 2.9¢ / 1.8¢
Spread2.3¢ (131.4%)
Change 24h-0.65pt
Change 7d-4.25pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$276
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $5
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.11
RSI (14, hourly)36.2
Realized vol 7d0.40pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 2h.
Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%