← Explore · Market 2760562
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30?
2.8% implied · bid 2.3¢ · ask 3.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.6%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability4.6%
Bid / ask / mid2.3¢ / 3.3¢ / 2.8¢
Spread1.0¢ (35.7%)
Change 24h-1.35pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$263
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18 / $12
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 26 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.28
RSI (14, hourly)26.3
Realized vol 7d0.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 2h.
Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%