← Explore · Market 2760573

Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $512,000 on September 30?

11.7% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.3¢

The market prices this at 12.3%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 1.3¢ spread.

Implied probability12.3%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.3¢ / 11.7¢

Spread1.3¢ (11.2%)

Change 24h+2.50pt

Change 7d+5.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$95

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8 / $5

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score43.5 / 100

RSI 45 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.24

RSI (14, hourly)45.1

Realized vol 7d2.59pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 36d 2h.

Time to resolve36d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%