← Explore · Market 2760574
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?
28.3% implied · bid 26.1¢ · ask 30.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.3%, up 16.5pt over 24h, on a 4.5¢ spread.
Implied probability29.3%
Bid / ask / mid26.1¢ / 30.6¢ / 28.3¢
Spread4.5¢ (15.9%)
Change 24h+16.55pt
Change 7d-13.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 28/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,568
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$37 / $33
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score27.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 73 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)72.8
Realized vol 7d3.34pt
Change 1h+0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 2h.
Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%