← Explore · Market 2760575
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?
32.5% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 33.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 33.6%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 2.9¢ spread.
Implied probability33.6%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 33.9¢ / 32.5¢
Spread2.9¢ (8.9%)
Change 24h-0.90pt
Change 7d-3.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$255
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$91 / $108
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 32 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.18
RSI (14, hourly)32.3
Realized vol 7d0.77pt
Change 1h+0.85pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 2h.
Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%