← Explore · Market 2760576
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?
10.9% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 18.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.8%, down 4.1pt over 24h, on a 15.4¢ spread.
Implied probability18.8%
Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 18.6¢ / 10.9¢
Spread15.4¢ (141.3%)
Change 24h-4.15pt
Change 7d-3.75pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$119
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 39 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.81
RSI (14, hourly)39.2
Realized vol 7d2.61pt
Change 1h-1.90pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 2h.
Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%