← Explore · Market 2771185

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

28.5% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 29.0¢

The market prices this at 28.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability28.0%

Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 29.0¢ / 28.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.5%)

Change 24h+2.00pt

Change 7d+4.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,586

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,953 / $4,980

Imbalance18% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score53.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.05

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.26pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%