← Explore · Market 2771185

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

37.0% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 38.0¢

The market prices this at 35.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability35.0%

Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 37.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (5.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,394

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,069 / $219

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.76

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d1.28pt

Change 1h-1.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%