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← Explore · Market 2773241

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d-0.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$881
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $64
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.31
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 22h.

Time to resolve7d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth