← Explore · Market 2773379
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?
71.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 72.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 69.0%, down 17.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability69.0%
Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.4%)
Change 24h-17.00pt
Change 7d+31.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,632
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,570 / $640
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.27
RSI (14, hourly)53.8
Realized vol 7d3.43pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 21h.
Time to resolve6d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%