← Explore · Market 2774056
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
16.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 17.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-30.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$30,447
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,442 / $12,036
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score55.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.28
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d1.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 51d 21h.
Time to resolve51d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%