← Explore · Market 2774056

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

0.3% implied · bid 0.2¢ · ask 0.3¢

The market prices this at 0.2%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.2¢ / 0.3¢ / 0.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (40.0%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$311,153

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,166 / $1,901

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)9

Liquidity score51.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.25

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.03pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%