← Explore · Market 2774057

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

31.5% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 32.0¢

The market prices this at 32.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability32.0%

Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.2%)

Change 24h+2.00pt

Change 7d-28.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$13,448

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,515 / $19,269

Imbalance27% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score61.9 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.01

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.82pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%