← Explore · Market 2774057

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 6.0¢

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%

Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (18.2%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-5.00pt

Deep and tight (score 85/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$74,761

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$51,519 / $27,556

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)4

Liquidity score84.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.02

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.30pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 35d 22h.

Time to resolve35d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%