← Explore · Market 2775406
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
32.0% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 43.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 32.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 22.0¢ spread.
Implied probability32.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 32.0¢
Spread22.0¢ (68.8%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.61
RSI (14, hourly)49.3
Realized vol 7d3.04pt
Change 1h+3.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 28d 5h.
Time to resolve28d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%