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← Explore · Market 2784640

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 10?

40.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 41.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 43.0%, up 31.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+31.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,713
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,018 / $2,847
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.45
RSI (14, hourly)71.0
Realized vol 7d3.88pt
Change 1h+26.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 13h.

Time to resolve0d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth