← Explore · Market 2784640
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 10?
40.5% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 41.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, up 31.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 41.0¢ / 40.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+31.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,713
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,018 / $2,847
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.45
RSI (14, hourly)71.0
Realized vol 7d3.88pt
Change 1h+26.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 13h.
Time to resolve0d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%