← Explore · Market 2789985

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

30.0% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

The market prices this at 29.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability29.0%

Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (6.7%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,443

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$646 / $71

Imbalance11% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.4 / 100

RSI 35 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.45

RSI (14, hourly)34.6

Realized vol 7d2.77pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 21h.

Time to resolve2d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%