← Explore · Market 2789986

Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

12.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

The market prices this at 13.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 12.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (24.0%)

Change 24h-5.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,776

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30 / $53

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.0 / 100

RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.31

RSI (14, hourly)37.5

Realized vol 7d3.62pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 21h.

Time to resolve2d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%