← Explore · Market 2789987

Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

6.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 5.0%, down 7.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%

Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 6.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (46.2%)

Change 24h-7.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,617

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$129 / $110

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.1 / 100

RSI 11 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.60

RSI (14, hourly)11.1

Realized vol 7d3.12pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 2d 21h.

Time to resolve2d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%