← Explore · Market 2790526
Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?
50.5% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 98.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.5%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 95.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.5%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread95.0¢ (188.1%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.49
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d4.85pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 21h.
Time to resolve2d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%