← Explore · Market 2790529

Will Elon post "Never" on X this week?

55.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 99.0¢

The market prices this at 78.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 87.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%

Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 99.0¢ / 55.5¢

Spread87.0¢ (156.8%)

Change 24h+4.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$74

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance33% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.16

RSI (14, hourly)53.1

Realized vol 7d2.83pt

Change 1h-25.00pt

Resolves in 2d 21h.

Time to resolve2d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%