← Explore · Market 2790530
Will Elon post "Always" on X this week?
51.0% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 98.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 51.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 94.0¢ spread.
Implied probability51.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 51.0¢
Spread94.0¢ (184.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 29% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance29% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.09
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.96pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 21h.
Time to resolve2d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%