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Will Elon post "China" on X this week?

52.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 98.0¢

The market prices this at 52.5%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 91.0¢ spread.

Implied probability52.5%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 52.5¢

Spread91.0¢ (173.3%)

Change 24h+1.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance28% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.97

RSI (14, hourly)61.5

Realized vol 7d1.30pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2d 21h.

Time to resolve2d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%