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← Explore · Market 2795869

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 11?

41.5% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 42.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 42.0%, up 30.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 41.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+30.00pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$177
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,967 / $2,363
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 74 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.81
RSI (14, hourly)74.0
Realized vol 7d2.61pt
Change 1h+20.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 13h.

Time to resolve1d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth