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← Explore · Market 2795924

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 11?

99.7% implied · bid 99.6¢ · ask 99.7¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.6%, up 2.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.6%
Bid / ask / mid99.6¢ / 99.7¢ / 99.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+2.55pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 83/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$7,591
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,834 / $53,728
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score83.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.41
RSI (14, hourly)52.6
Realized vol 7d0.91pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1d 13h.

Time to resolve1d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth