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← Explore · Market 2807521

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 12?

99.9% implied · bid 99.7¢ · ask 100.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.7¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.9¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$415
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,144 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.27
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d7.86pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2d 13h.

Time to resolve2d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth