← Explore · Market 2807521
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 12?
99.9% implied · bid 99.7¢ · ask 100.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.9%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability99.9%
Bid / ask / mid99.7¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.9¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$415
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,144 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.27
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d7.86pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 13h.
Time to resolve2d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%