← Explore · Market 2807523
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 12?
99.6% implied · bid 99.4¢ · ask 99.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.6%, up 1.3pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability99.6%
Bid / ask / mid99.4¢ / 99.8¢ / 99.6¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+1.35pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 77/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$860
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,809 / $45,578
Imbalance35% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score77.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.35
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d4.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 13h.
Time to resolve2d 13h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%