← Explore · Market 2807529

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 12?

99.0% implied · bid 98.9¢ · ask 99.0¢

The market prices this at 99.0%, up 3.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.0%

Bid / ask / mid98.9¢ / 99.0¢ / 99.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+3.30pt

Change 7dn/a

Deep and tight (score 75/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,255

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,312 / $41,666

Imbalance34% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score75.5 / 100

RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.48

RSI (14, hourly)71.2

Realized vol 7d4.11pt

Change 1h+0.30pt

Resolves in 2d 13h.

Time to resolve2d 13h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%